Quantitative Technical Analysis & Long Term Asset Management

Apple At New All Time Highs. Now What?

Let's start with a victory lap and a smidge of shameless self-promotion shall we? One of my first blogs of 2019 was entitled "Close Your Eyes And Start Buying Apple." I hope at least one of you heeded said advice for if you had you are up handsomely. That blog was done in the midst [...]

Highly Skewed Risk Reward Opportunity In Retail Name

As my main focus has been centered around overall portfolio management and building trading systems as of late, I still want to point out individual stocks from time to time when the risk/reward objectives are positively skewed. One example of this is a stock I entered yesterday, $FRAN. As the U.S. consumer has remained strong [...]

This Market Is Outperforming Four Out Of Five U.S. Stock Indexes

It's frequently quoted in the financial media that the U.S. is the best house in a bad neighborhood in terms of markets in which to invest. While warnings of economic growth slowdown, negative interest rates and geopolitical turmoil are abundant, a common theme is that the U.S. Stock market is one of the last places [...]

The Holy Grail Of Any Trading System

It is common for the novice trader or investor to begin their quest for financial freedom by searching far and wide for the "holy grail" trading system. Oftentimes, the novice scours the internet looking for a self-proclaimed guru's advice or they shell out their hard earned cash for a trading indicator that holds the keys [...]

Technical Voodoo At Play In The Benchmark S&P 500

Among the many technical indicators available to us as market technicians lies one in particular that to this day I have trouble wrapping my mind around. These tools aren't necessarily difficult to use or interpret, but trying to grasp why these work takes some higher level thinking. I am speaking of the Fibonacci toolset (Extensions, [...]

The Memory Remains

Welcome to Q4, 2019. It's hard to believe a year has passed since my final exam. I don't mean a university, FINRA or other written exam given by a financial institution. I mean the final exam given to me by Mother Market that I along with several other traders I am close with, failed with [...]

Skill Versus Luck: An Enormous Advantage In Trading And Investing

"Most of the successes and failures we see are a combination of skill and luck that prove maddeningly difficult to tease apart." - Michael J. Mauboussin (The Success Equation) Around the time I turned 21 years old and visited a casino for the first time, I remember someone telling me that the worst thing that [...]

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